Decision desk · Tuesday night

Take the desk.

Polls are about to close. Votes will arrive county by county: early votes, mail ballots, Election Day precincts, each on its own schedule. Your job is to call each race the moment it's truly over. Not a minute before.

🌙 Election Night 8 Senate races, poll closings from 7 to 11 PM, a live clock to 6 AM. Rival desks, a Senate majority to call, and a front page to print. 🗳️ Single Race One race at a time, batch by batch. Build a streak of right calls. Good for learning the maths.

Difficulty Rookie See the desk model's win probability. ×1 points Analyst See the path-to-victory maths and remaining votes by ballot type. ×1.5 Legend Raw counts and county results only. ×2

How scoring works

Right call: 100 points + up to 150 for calling early (the more vote still out, the bigger the bonus) + 50 for a scoop, meaning you beat The Wire, the careful rival desk.
Wrong call: −400 and a correction on your front page. You can retract a call for −150 if you get cold feet.
Too close to call: once 90% is counted, declare it if you think the final margin will be under 0.5 points. +200 if right, −100 if not. Calling a sub-0.5 race for a winner scores only 25 even if you're right, because real desks don't do that.
The Senate: Harbor controls the chamber. Lantern needs 5 of tonight's 8 seats to flip it. Call the chamber for +300, or −500 if you get it wrong.
Races still counting at 6 AM get fast-forwarded to the final count. Not calling a race costs nothing. Shortcut keys: L H T to call, Space to pause, ← → to switch races.